Sign Me Up!
Sign up for a monthly newsletter and occasional alerts from Broader View! If you provide your location, we'll let you know if Nevet is planning a visit to your area.
* = required field

Demographic & Statistical Data

The Jewish-Arab demographic about-face by Yoram Ettinger, The Ettinger Report, November 10, 2017

The Myth of Israel’s Demographic Doomsday by Gregg Roman, The Hill, December 9, 2016

Jewish, Arab fertility rates in Israel on par for first time, The Times of Israel, November 15, 2016

Arab rate drops, Jewish rate rises, and women in both groups now give birth to an average of 3.13 children, highest in OECD

[Hebrew] צופן ורסאי, וצופן הגירת הערבים מיהודה ושומרון, שנחשף by Dr. Guy Bechor, Gplanet, August 13, 2016

On double-counting and other distortions in Palestinian reports on West Bank and Jerusalem population

The Palestinians Are Trying to Manipulate Demographics – Here’s How by Yoram Ettinger, The Algemeiner, July 31, 2016

Palestinian Demographic Manipulation by Yoram Ettinger, Israel Hayom, July 22, 2016

Jewish fertility surpasses Arab fertility in Jerusalem, data show by Nadav Shragai and Efrat Forsher, Israel Hayom, June 1, 2016

Jewish, Arab birthrates in Israel now almost the same by Stuart Winer, The Times of Israel, November 18, 2015

New figures show Jewish women have average of 3.11 children, up from 2.6 a decade ago; Arab women have 3.17 kids, down from 4.3

Reality-based demography by Yoram Ettinger, Israel Hayom, October 11, 2015

Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics reported a Jewish fertility rate of 3.11 births per woman in 2015 and trending upward; the Arab fertility rate was 3.35 and is declining. The documented number of Arabs in the West Bank is 1.7 million, or 1.1 million less than the number claimed by the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics.

How Many Qatari Nationals Are There? by Onn Winckler, Middle East Quarterly, Spring 2015

Making the most of Israel’s fertility edge by Evelyn Gordon, Jerusalem Post, June 24, 2014

The Myth of Ethnic Inequality in Israel by Steven Plaut, Middle East Quarterly, Summer 2014

Confronting the demographic demon by Evelyn Gordon, Jerusalem Post, May 30, 2014

Jerusalem Population Statistics (as of the end of 2012), Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, May 2014

Expert: Israel Does Not Face a Demographic Threat, Israel Hayom, April 29, 2014

The Politics of Demography by Jerold Auerbach, The Algemeiner, March 20, 2014

2013 sees record number of births in Israel by Zeev Klein, Israel Hayom, March 9, 2014

Central Bureau of Statistics reports that Jewish births are up both by numbers and percentages, while the birth rate in the Muslim Arab sector has reached an all-time low.

The Jewish Demographic Bomb: Judea and Samaria Up 4.3% in 2013, Jewish Press, February 25, 2014

Israel at a Point of No Return – In the Right Direction by David P. Goldman, PJ Media, February 12, 2014

Palestine’s Peace Bomb by Steven J. Rosen, Foreign Policy, January 31, 2014

A Jewish Majority in the Land of Israel: The Resilient Jewish State by Yakov Faitelson, Middle East Quarterly, Fall 2013

Livni’s Source of Desperation: Jewish Births Way Up, Arabs Way Down by Yori Yanover, JewishPress.com, August 23, 2013

“A new report shows that the demographic predictions Minister Tzipi Livni has been basing her decisions on are incorrect.”

Israel’s fast evolving demography by Paul Morland, Jerusalem Post, July 21, 2013

“The birth rates of Arabs and Jews in Israel are close to converging. [….] It is significant because it represents a dramatic drop in Arab fertility rates.”

The Myth of the Inevitable Jewish Minority in Israel by Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe, June 26, 2013

Peering into the crystal ball: How Israel will look, statistically, in 2035 by Tali Heruti-Sover, Haaretz, June 26, 2013

Women will live six years longer, Jewish women will have a higher birth rate than Arab women, 15 percent of the population will be over 65 and immigration will slow while more Israelis leave.

The demographic success of Israel’s settlement project by Neve Gordon and Yinon Cohen, Al Jazeera, December 6, 2012

The 1967 Census of the West Bank and Gaza Strip: A Digitized Version by Joel Perlmann, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, November 2011–February 2012

In the summer of 1967, just after the Six-Day War brought the West Bank and Gaza Strip under Israeli control, the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (ICBS) supervised a census in these territories. The census included an impressive array of questions about individuals, households, and the quality of residences—about age, sex, religion, place of residence, educational attainment, occupation, industrial sector, income, household structure, health, female fertility, and housing conditions. Moreover, it asked two crucial questions about refugee status: Had the individual lived prior to the 1948 War in the area that became the State of Israel? And, Was the individual living in or outside of a refugee camp at the time the census was taken?

Statistical Abstract of Israel

Fertility Decline in the Muslim World: A Veritable Sea-Change, Still Curiously Unnoticed by Nicholas Eberstadt and Apoorva Shah, The American Enterprise Institute, Working Paper Series on Development Policy No. 7, December 2011 [pdf]

Time Out by David P. Goldman, Tablet, July 20, 2011

Conventional wisdom says Israel must reach a peace deal quickly, before population trends and diplomatic isolation overtake the Jewish state. Demographics and geopolitics tell a different story.

[Hebrew] Fertility RatesDemographic Trends in the Land of Israel (1800–2007) by Yaakov Faitelson, The Institute for Zionist Strategies  [2013 update]

Population statistics in Palestine (1914-1946), Israel (1949-2006), Jerusalem (1910-2005), West Bank & Gaza Strip (1950-2005), and projections (2020-2050) from ProCon.org

Population and area of Ottoman and British mandate Palestine and Israel, 1951-2000

Demography in Israel/Palestine: Trends, Prospects, Policy Implications by Sergio DellaPergola, The A. Harman Institute of Contemporary Jewry, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, IUSSP XXIV General Population Conference, Salvador de Bahia, August 2001 (includes “Population in Palestine West of Jordan River, by Religion Groups, 1st Century-2000 – Rough Estimates,” Table 2, p. 5) [See also: Demographics of Palestine in Wikipedia]

The Population of Palestine Prior to 1948, MidEast Web

Major Conclusions:

  1. The nature of the data does not permit precise conclusions about the Arab population of Palestine in Ottoman and British times
  2. Palestine was not an empty land when Zionist immigration began.
  3. Zionist settlement between 1880 and 1948 did not displace or dispossess Palestinians.
  4. Historic population data in Palestine during Ottoman times and during Mandatory times show significant discrepancies.
  5. It is not possible to estimate illegal Arab immigration directly, but apparently there was some immigration.Survey of Western Palestine, 1881
  6. There are large discrepancies between official population figures and the  number of Palestinian refugees
  7. There are serious discrepancies in reporting of the number of refugees.
  8. The city of Jerusalem has had a Jewish majority since about 1896

Palestine: Land ownership by sub-district (1945), United Nations Information System on the Question of Palestine (UNISPAL), August 1, 1950

The Survey of Western Palestine: Memoirs of the topography, orography, hydrography, and archaeology by C.R. Conder, and H.H. Kitchener; edited with additions by E.H. Palmer and Walter Besant. Published 1881 by Committee of the Palestine exploration fund in London. [full text of 1881 survey online]

Demographic Scare (compilation) by Yoram Ettinger